Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.921114 2.009667 2.103539 2.211094 2.331740 2.463905 2.621077
2025-10-26 1.822938 1.937424 2.063359 2.213872 2.391296 2.597124 2.859351
2025-11-02 1.733445 1.860596 2.003783 2.179738 2.394341 2.653825 3.002394
2025-11-09 1.674594 1.811995 1.969757 2.168255 2.417704 2.730945 3.173746
2025-11-16 1.626981 1.772250 1.941772 2.159411 2.440192 2.805123 3.346792
2025-11-23 1.584544 1.735599 1.914280 2.147659 2.455741 2.868796 3.510883
2025-11-30 1.558589 1.716891 1.906794 2.159368 2.501154 2.975545 3.753946
2025-12-07 1.506518 1.663894 1.853922 2.108832 2.457907 2.950745 3.782130
2025-12-14 1.475620 1.635672 1.830690 2.095439 2.464156 2.997733 3.935954
2025-12-21 1.443866 1.605129 1.803059 2.074397 2.457606 3.023862 4.056511
2025-12-28 1.433185 1.600388 1.807940 2.096849 2.514067 3.152030 4.390618
2026-01-04 1.427913 1.602050 1.820822 2.130428 2.588694 3.317449 4.845175
2026-01-11 1.405332 1.581548 1.804674 2.123911 2.604355 3.389518 5.132004
2026-01-18 1.387847 1.566942 1.795613 2.126656 2.634019 3.489040 5.520275
2026-01-25 1.358689 1.536321 1.764002 2.095433 2.607788 3.484163 5.639534
2026-02-01 1.338801 1.517229 1.747262 2.084915 2.613808 3.539640 5.948486
2026-02-08 1.320890 1.500211 1.732715 2.076810 2.622944 3.601847 6.308809
2026-02-15 1.302971 1.482699 1.716898 2.066034 2.626751 3.653808 6.666950
2026-02-22 1.293541 1.476085 1.715701 2.076770 2.666996 3.784694 7.401585
2026-03-01 1.264967 1.443398 1.677581 2.030389 2.606902 3.697886 7.220879
2026-03-08 1.249065 1.427337 1.662211 2.018077 2.605121 3.736510 7.607986
2026-03-15 1.231434 1.408616 1.642677 1.998719 2.589979 3.744441 7.870417
2026-03-22 1.227783 1.408527 1.649135 2.019374 2.646359 3.919583 9.172379